| didn't you call smartphones a fad? got that one wrong too.
|

I am surprised by the sheer ubiquity of cellphones.
And it's increasing quickly. (No ned to even call them
smartphones anymore. Nearly everyone with a phone
now has an iPhone or Android.) I regularly deal with
people who assume I have texting capability. (I don't.)

There was a time when I thought things would
get back to normal once the phone addicts all walked
into trees or got run over. You know... Darwinian thinning
of the herd. But now I think we'll probably just
change the laws to accomodate them. Already, now,
when I drive through Harvard Sq in Cambridge I feel
like I'm playing bumper cars with numerous people who
simply walk around gazing at their phone, without
any break in their step, even when they cross busy
intersections. The physical world is becoming sort of
a necessary evil for many people, as they live most
of the time in a mindset separate from their physical
presence.

But even given all of that..... I don't expect iWatches
to last. (Remember, Apple has had plenty of big failures
in the past. You can fool all of the AppleSeeds most
of the time, but they don't like PCs packaged as 8",
cracked acrylic cubes. And the fitness craze itself
is a very mutable, unstable phenomenon.)